Wednesday, July 31, 2024

The Breakdown: NBC Monday in 2023-24 (The Voice, The Irrational, Deal Or No Deal Island and more!)




It's time for a journey through the NBC Monday schedule in 2023-24...


fall

Year8:008:309:009:3010:0010:30Avg
2022-23The VoiceQuantum Leap134
15715986
2023-24The VoiceThe Irrational116 (-13%)
136 (-13%)136 (-14%)76 (-12%)
VsAvg+1%-4%-24%-8%
Rank13/2514/2517/2514/25

Fall was the first of a couple pretty rough cycles for The Voice, dropping double digits after seemingly having stabilized for a few years. Lead-out new drama The Irrational, one of the few big four scripted offerings in the fall, was down a similar amount in the 10/9c hour vs. last year's Quantum Leap.

winter

Year8:008:309:009:3010:0010:30Avg
2022-23America's Got Talent: All-StarsQuantum Leap105
12412369
2023-24America's Got Talent: Fantasy LeagueThe Irrational80 (-24%)
91 (-27%)91 (-26%)59 (-15%)
VsAvg-20%-17%-33%-22%
Rank16/2514/2522/2520/25

NBC brought in yet another America's Got Talent spin-off for the winter, but this one was on the low end of those efforts historically and massively behind last year's All-Stars. It settled in a similar place to AGT: Extreme from two years ago. With a much lower lead-in, The Irrational tapered off into pretty shaky territory, including just a 50 Plus in its last two episodes (the only two that had NCIS: Hawai'i competition).

spring

Year8:008:309:009:3010:0010:30Avg
2022-23The VoiceThat's My Jam110
12612678
2023-24The VoiceDeal Or No Deal Island97 (-13%)
107 (-15%)107 (-15%)76 (-3%)
VsAvg-13%-14%-11%-13%
Rank16/2515/2518/2519/25

Considering The Voice's struggles, reality competition Deal Or No Deal Island was arguably as strong a spring occupant as the 10/9c hour has had since the Blacklist/Blindspot days, almost matching last year's already decent That's My Jam.

Rating the Ratings

NameLoAvgHiy2yPlusLabelPlusy2yResults
The Voice Fall*0.40.520.6-23%136hit-13%detail
America's Got Talent: Fantasy League0.30.340.491marginaldetail
The Voice Spring*0.20.420.5-24%110solid-15%detail
The Irrational0.20.260.370marginaldetail
Deal Or No Deal Island0.20.290.477marginaldetail

The Voice Fall: These Plus trends are saying C- but I'm being true to my word from the intro post and being a bit kinder since they aired as normal in a season with an artificially small league average decline. After all, in other recent seasons, -23%/-24% would be barely down in Plus. Still, not a great development for a franchise that had looked pretty steady lately. Grade: C.

The Voice Spring: See above. Grade: C.

The Irrational: Given its diminished lead-ins, this clearly did way better than some recent lead-outs like Ordinary Joe and Bluff City Law, but I'd still rate it a little behind last year's Quantum Leap, and the other NBC fall newbie Found was probably stronger as well. The Irrational got a season two and will have the Tuesday Voice lead-in. Grade: C.

The names in this last table link to the shows' War of 18-49 pages. Links with an asterisk(*) have been updated with the new info. Updates to younger shows will come later in the summer.

Previous Breakdowns for NBC Monday: 2015-16 | 2016-17 | 2017-18 | 2018-19 | 2019-20 | 2020-21 | 2021-22 | 2022-23

Here's the now updated Schedules Plus for NBC Monday.

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