The Breakdown: NBC Tuesday in 2018-19 (The Voice, This Is Us, New Amsterdam and more!)

It's time for a journey through the NBC Tuesday schedule in 2018-19...


fall

Year	8:00	8:30	9:00	9:30	10:00	10:30	Avg
2017-18	The Voice		The Voice	This Is Us		This Is Us	Law and Order True Crime		Law and Order True Crime	179
	2017-18	186		186	256		256	96			96	179
2018-19	The Voice		The Voice	This Is Us		This Is Us	New Amsterdam		New Amsterdam	182 (+2%)
	2018-19	174 (-6%)		174.086639425169	234 (-9%)		234 (-9%)	139 (+45%)			139 (+45%)	182.335967191439
VsAvg	+46%		0.457709293005363	+69%		0.685711005779685	+22%		0.21912762412758	+47%
Rank	5/18		5/18	2/18		2/18	2/18		2/18	1/18

The declines finally began for This Is Us in season three, and The Voice was down too. But NBC still managed its best fall Tuesday in the era thanks to a huge dose of improvement at 10/9c with medical drama New Amsterdam.

winter

Year	8:00	8:30	9:00	9:30	10:00	10:30	Avg
2017-18	Ellen's Game of Games		Ellen's Game of Games	This Is Us		This Is Us	Chicago Med		Chicago Med	181
	2017-18	182		182	231		231	129			129	181
2018-19	Ellen's Game of Games		Ellen's Game of Games	This Is Us		This Is Us	New Amsterdam		New Amsterdam	153 (-15%)
	2018-19	161 (-12%)		160.604825499178	194 (-16%)		194 (-16%)	105 (-18%)			105 (-18%)	153.184112453656
VsAvg	+66%		0.660451672744283	+67%		0.66546644799767	-3%		-0.0321272767173225	+43%
Rank	2/18		2/18	3/18		3/18	10/18		10/18	3/18

Once New Amsterdam started getting compared against a potent year-ago occupant, though, the whole night looked a lot worse. This Is Us' declines also accelerated after the new year, and Ellen's Game of Games dropped double digits from its enormous season one run.

spring

Year	8:00	8:30	9:00	9:30	10:00	10:30	Avg
2017-18	The Voice		The Voice	Rise		Rise	Chicago Med		Chicago Med	106
	2017-18	151		151	71		71	97			97	106
2018-19	The Village		The Village	The Voice		The Voice	New Amsterdam		New Amsterdam	84 (-21%)
	2018-19	65 (-57%)		64.5915168688568	103 (+45%)		103 (+45%)	83 (-14%)			83 (-14%)	83.6936057356409
VsAvg	-38%		-0.378969039449336	+4%		0.0381557566024103	-23%		-0.233876349994276	-20%
Rank	13/18		13/18	10/18		10/18	16/18		16/18	14/18

Things predictably got much messier after This Is Us was gone, as New Amsterdam was not able to hold up as well with a flop lead-in as Med did a year ago. After three episodes at 10/9c and just two at 9/8c, NBC shuffled The Village down to 8/7c and was able to salvage an OK end to the season from New Amsterdam. But The Voice's declines were most staggering, including a fractional run in late April and early May.

Rating the Ratings

Name	Lo	Avg	Hi	y2y	Plus	Label	Plusy2y	Results
The Voice Tue Fall*	1.4	1.67	2.2	-18%	175	big hit	-6%	detail
Ellen's Game of Games	1.2	1.43	1.7	-28%	151	big hit	-18%	detail
The Village	0.6	0.66	0.8		69	flop		detail
This Is Us	1.7	2.01	3.0	-26%	212	megahit	-14%	detail
The Voice Tue Spring*	0.9	1.21	2.1	-29%	127	hit	-18%	detail
New Amsterdam	0.6	1.06	1.8		112	solid		detail

The Voice Tue Fall: Already updated.

Ellen's Game of Games: Last year's sensation held onto a big hit average even though it had to throw in some March and April airings this year. The late-season low 1's didn't seem that amazing at the time, but when The Voice started struggling to break 1.0 in the spring... Grade: C+.

The Village: Held up OK enough at 8/7c that I think I would say it was ultimately not quite as weak as Rise last year? It's not a huge margin either way, though. Grade: D.

This Is Us: It posted a third megahit season, which puts it in fairly exclusive company, but it's declining now; it's just a question of what the rate of decline will be going forward. Another megahit season seems a bit ambitious, but if it can keep declining at this rate, it'll hang onto hit-level ratings through the end of its three-year renewal. If it suddenly starts tanking by 25% like seasons three and four of Empire, it could be out of hit territory in two years. Compared with the declines for the third seasons of Empire and Desperate Housewives, this is not that bad. Grade: C+.

The Voice Tue Spring: Already updated.

New Amsterdam: The spring episodes after The Village weren't a great sign, but it's also impossible to ignore the kind of improvement that it posted vs. True Crime in the fall. While it might be easy to call it "lead-in dependent" based on how it perked back up with a Voice lead-in, it was also a stellar DVR gainer (not far from Manifest in that regard). Grade: B+.

The names in this last table link to the shows' War of 18-49 pages. Links with an asterisk(*) have been updated with the new info. Updates to younger shows will come later in the summer.

Here's the now updated Schedules Plus for NBC Tuesday.