| The Following Last Season |
| 4.4 (post-NFC Championship premiere, 1/19/14) 2.0 (timeslot premiere, 1/27/14) 1.5 (season finale, 4/28/14) 1.75 (season two average) 1.56 (season two average excluding football premiere) |
One interesting wrinkle here is that the show's biggest drama competition Scorpion will be in repeat mode tonight. That may make some difference, as previous occupant Sleepy Hollow seemed to fare a little better on nights without an original Scorpion. (By the way, CBS will have this favor returned to it on Wednesday when CSI: Cyber premieres against a repeat Chicago PD.) I'm expecting this show to continue slipping significantly, but the Scorpion factor makes me a bit more confident that The Following can get back to the finale rating on premiere night.
Over/Under: 1.55.
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32 comments:
Under with 1.4.
Under
Over at a 1.6.
Not directly related, but I think this could be a make or break night for the Night Shift. It's Voice lead in should be going down a bit, but both of its drama competitors are out of the picture. LA is in repeats and Secrets & Lies has a pilot encore. It can't ask for a better situation. NBC has kept a steady stream of promos despite the poor premiere.
Unofficial question line: Over/Under: 1.45
Over. Like I said before, FOX underachieved to almost an unbelievable degree last spring and this fall and this show (together with New Girl and American Idol) seemed to be the biggest victims of the hell that was going on last year. The other two are recovering nicely and while I don't expect a serial to be able to revert course nearly as well as a comedy and a reality show, this line feels like something it can do leading out of a strong Gotham and against a Scorpion repeat.
The Following was too sadistic for my tastes, and is a completely off-the-rails show. Haven't seen much hype for this season.
Under.
Over, even at 1.5
Ugh. It feels wrong to bet against Fox right now, but it doesn't feel right betting on this show. It's like watching what happens when a four-year flameout gets a sixth season. So my vote comes from the externals: Gotham will be a stronger lead-in than Almost Human and Bones, and it's the only original scripted option on since Scorpion's on hiatus.
Over.
I'm sensing a 1.5. Under.
Under.
That's straight up rejection.
Under
Line is sneaky low, but during sophomore season The Following never failed to disappoint, so I have a feeling that trend continues
I think at least a 1.6 is possible for the premiere.
OVER.
Over
Is anyone meant to be able to predict FOX ratings at this point?
I guess there's enough compatibility with Gotham for an Over, but I have essentially zero confidence in that. Anything from a 1.2 to a 2.0 would not greatly surprise me.
Under
Over at 1.7
Under. I was thinking 1.6/1.7 at first, but 1.4/1.5 is not that unlikely.
Over
Over
Over
Hope the good Sunday that Fox had doesn't end up misleading me.
Over
Over
Not because the zero drama competition, especially since Scorpion and Following are apples and oranges in terms of tone, style, and content, and also I never buy the idea people just magically flock to another show unless two shows they like are on the same timeslot, but it seems way too low, and the network has been on a greater upswing after a disastrous fall and spring.
Under, I can't see it staying even.
Under
I will say Under.
Under. Justification can be found on the Best Case/Worse Case entry.
Over
Under
Ugh. Under at 1.4–1.5.
Under. No way it's even week to week. The real fun will be how ugly it's gonna get over the coming weeks.
over
Under
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