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Monday, March 2, 2015

The Question, Monday 3/2/15: Will The Following's Ratings Get Scarier in Season Three?


In 2013, Fox's Kevin Bacon drama The Following became the highest-rated new show of the 2012-13 season, kicking off the year of the so-called "limited series." In 2014, the show got major exposure from an airing after the NFC Championship game but still disappointed when it returned to Monday, kicking off the year of the limited series sophomore slump. And tonight, it becomes the first example of what happens when a limited series drops huge in season two but still gets renewed anyway. Will The Following's ratings get scarier in season three? That's The Question for Monday, March 2, 2015.

The Following Last Season
4.4 (post-NFC Championship premiere, 1/19/14)
2.0 (timeslot premiere, 1/27/14)
1.5 (season finale, 4/28/14) 
1.75 (season two average)
1.56 (season two average excluding football premiere)

One interesting wrinkle here is that the show's biggest drama competition Scorpion will be in repeat mode tonight. That may make some difference, as previous occupant Sleepy Hollow seemed to fare a little better on nights without an original Scorpion. (By the way, CBS will have this favor returned to it on Wednesday when CSI: Cyber premieres against a repeat Chicago PD.) I'm expecting this show to continue slipping significantly, but the Scorpion factor makes me a bit more confident that The Following can get back to the finale rating on premiere night.

Over/Under: 1.55.

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