- FINALS UPDATE: Each of Fox's animated anchors adjusted up a tenth.
- There was no big post-Walking Dead really for ABC's dramas. In fact, Once Upon a Time (2.0) was preliminarily down another tenth, putting it on the year-to-year negative side for the first time all season. But Resurrection (1.0) did get back one tenth and Revenge (1.2) was up two.
- On the other two networks, the NFL overrun made a big impact. Fox's The Simpsons (2.8), Brooklyn Nine-Nine (2.1), Family Guy (2.2) and Bob's Burgers (1.6) all shot up to at or barely below the last time they had the overrun two weeks ago, while overrun-less CBS saw The Mentalist (1.1) take a huge week two drop and CSI (1.2) a two-tenth drop leading out of an I Love Lucy Christmas special (1.4) at 8/7c.
FULL TABLE:
| Info | Show | Timeslot | True | |||||||
| A18-49 | Skew | Last | LeLa | Rank | y2y | TLa | Ty2y | |||
| America's Funniest Home Videos | 1.3 | 28% | +8% | +0.1 | n/a | 3/8 | -13% | +13% | -16% | 1.6 |
| Once Upon a Time | 2.0 | 41% | -5% | -0.1 | +0.1 | 10/10 | -5% | -5% | -7% | 2.1 |
| Resurrection | 1.0 | 32% | +11% | +0.1 | -0.1 | 8/9 | n/a | +18% | -35% | 1.1 |
| Revenge | 1.2 | 33% | +20% | +0.2 | +0.1 | 6/10 | -25% | +14% | +60% | 1.5 |
| ABC: | +7% | -8% | ||||||||
| 60 Minutes | 1.6 | 18% | -57% | -2.1 | n/a | 8/12 | -20% | -79% | -20% | 1.8 |
| I Love Lucy Christmas Special | 1.3 | 18% | -7% | -50% | -38% | 1.4 | ||||
| The Mentalist | 1.1 | 16% | -31% | -0.5 | -0.6 | 2/2 | -39% | -35% | -50% | 1.3 |
| CSI | 1.2 | 19% | -14% | -0.2 | -0.5 | 8/9 | n/a | -20% | -31% | 1.5 |
| CBS: | -62% | -35% | ||||||||
| Football Night in America p2 | 1.3 | 37% | -58% | -1.8 | n/a | 10/14 | -32% | -58% | -32% | 1.6 |
| Football Night in America p3 | 3.7 | 41% | -14% | -0.6 | -1.8 | 11/15 | -8% | -14% | -8% | 3.8 |
| Sunday Night Football | 7.1 | 43% | -4% | -0.3 | -0.6 | 11/16 | +3% | -4% | +1% | 6.7 |
| NBC: | -9% | -1% | ||||||||
| NFL Overrun | 8.1 | 40% | -16% | -1.6 | n/a | 11/14 | -11% | +1057% | -21% | 7.7 |
| The OT | 5.2 | 45% | +33% | +1.3 | -0.3 | 3/7 | +0% | +767% | +0% | 3.3 |
| The Simpsons | 2.9 | 56% | +93% | +1.4 | +4.5 | 6/9 | -6% | +190% | -6% | 2.0 |
| Brooklyn Nine-Nine | 2.1 | 62% | +50% | +0.7 | +1.9 | 5/10 | +31% | +50% | +0% | 1.9 |
| Family Guy | 2.3 | 66% | +5% | +0.1 | -0.1 | 3/6 | -15% | +109% | -15% | 2.1 |
| Bob's Burgers | 1.6 | 64% | +60% | +0.6 | +1.2 | 2/6 | -24% | +60% | -24% | 1.4 |
| Fox: | +283% | -13% | ||||||||
| Big4: | +11% | -11% | ||||||||
KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.
(R) - Repeat.
Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.
(R) - Repeat.
Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.
More Spotted Ratings in the Index.
42 comments:
Revenge's performance becomes more and more valuable as the season progresses IMO. It's very hard to grow at 10pm and it is now consistently growing 0.2 on a horrible lead-in. Also, while the season premiere rating of 1.3 was very underwhelming, the fact that it is still at 1.2 three months later on the low viewed December when the show before it have given more than one full point each is telling. These are the characters one should look for in a utility player and I think being a utility player is what could buy Revenge a final 13 episode season to plug a hole somewhere (either this same hole while ABC focus on 9pm or a midseason hole). OUAT's drop is concerning for 4B.
Meanwhile, The Mentalist's performance week to week is truly bizarre. I consider this performance way worse than anything it ever did at 11 pm leading out of the good wife, quite shocking.
On FOX, B99 is now officially on Family Guy's levels in raw numbers (truly there is obviously a difference due to the huge simpsons lead-in). That's a good thing for the show.
I wonder if ABC is considering swapping Revenge and Resurrection for their January run since Galavant will be such a question mark. Although I do have to say that the network is promoting the show very hard. I think slicing the promo season into thirds for the new shows (Fall: How to Get Away with Murder, black-ish; Winter: Galavant, Agent Carter; Spring: Secrets & Lies, American Crime) may end up working very well for ABC.
I guess CBS is now going to make the I Love Lucy Colorized Christmas special an annual thing. One year I think they should air it Mondays @ 9:00 since that's when the show originally aired.
Revenge's 1.2 is bad, there's no way to spin it into being good. ABC surely doesn't want one more season of Revenge, and they certainly don't have room for it in fall schedule.
Of course, there's always possibility ABC would order 13 episodes midseason spackle if studio offers it for next to nothing, But that possibility exists for literally every low rated show with 66+ episodes aired, and has nothing to do with first airing raitings, but instead with studio expecting profit from other sources.
Revenge has a chance merely because the other obvious midseason filler (Nashville) will certainly get a full season if it is renewed. Also, I can't see them giving the Taste another Thursday filler season with sub 1 ratings. It would be interesting the give Revenge like a 14 episode season and double pump it during the Thursday hiatus.
I think it's not as bad as you are implying it is. I would argue that this result is on par with say the 1.5/1.6 Castle has been getting out of 2.0/2.2 DWTS on Mondays for instance. And certainly better than Forever considering lead-in differences. Obviously better than Nashville as well. It's also better than all the flops ABC has had as new shows (see Resurrection), so it shows there is still some value in the number itself. Imo, the show could have easily simply followed the declining trend of the night and pulled a 0.9 or 0.8, but it went ahead and built on its lead-in again. That' worthy of something imo. If Revenge was at the same level of all the flops ABC has had for new shows, I wouldn't think the possibility of a spackle season existed.
Also, regarding there being no room in ABC's fall schedule, I agree with you in principle but I think there is a chance they premiere just two new dramas again and go for two new comedies instead of 4. Not a big chance, but a chance. That would allow them to fix the Sunday 9pm with their biggest drama hope, to launch something compatible with Shield and to play around with the comedies however they think it's best. In that scenario, Revenge keeps its slot until midseason when something would then launch there.
I would love the swap but that's because I am a Revenge fan. From an executive POV, it's hard to argue for one when Revenge would be back at 10 in March when Secrets and Lies premieres. However, what I would do would be to air Revenge only twice in January. Air it on the first week and then against the globes (Sadly, but well) and then stop it. No need to air for 4 weeks since it will have enough time to air in the spring afterwards.
I think it's very bad for Revenge. This was the mid-season finale and it had no bump whatsoever. The 1.0 from last week was clearly walking dead-induced, but this episode showed that Revenge has no pulse anymore.
It can be saved only due to some inter-network musical chairs game, but not for its own virtue.
Retentionista much? It doesn't matter what Sun 9 PM shows does, it matters what Revenge does at 10 PM. And with low 1.24 A18-49 average, it's already losing money to ABC (unless it already this season comes at discount price).
And for Castle / Nashville, you couldn't be more wrong, Revenge is multiple tiers bellow those two. Castle is around 0.5 ratings points ahead of Revenge, so it makes almost $1 mill. more from ads than Revenge makes. While Nashville is only 0.2 ahead of Revenge, Nashville comes at much cheaper airing fee (thanks to Tennessee tax breaks and whatnot), so situation is similar .
But The Taste costs ABC at least 3x less than Revenge airing fee is. Did you take that into consideration?
That's exactly why I said Revenge could return next year as a spackle, but only " if studio offers it for next to nothing".
I get The Taste is cheap, but with a .9 for the premiere before Idol comes back is not renewable.
I get it. I'm not saying ABC not to cancel The Taste. I'm saying if they do cancel it, then there's no logic to replace it with Revenge that costs much more than The Taste, yet has not much higher ratings.
I repeat, unless ABC Studios expects much money from Revenge in syndication, or from streaming rights. Which I doubt, but is possible, and in turn, Revenge renewal is possible.
It's amazing how far the league average has fallen in such a short time. Sure, it was twice as big ten years ago, but even five years back it was a full point higher. Does this make network less sustainable, or the remaining ratings points just become more valuable?
Presumably that depends on the ad rates vs cost of production, but I'm willing to bet it's a chunk of both. The end of the sports rights boom (which is a product of dollars-per-demo-point rising) might be a possible canary in this particular coal mine, but it's not come yet - the NBA just agreed a huge deal, for a start.
I am a retentionista in some circumstances, yes. I believe a show that is able to outgrow its lead-in at 10pm has more value for the network than its raw numbers indicate. Besides, since the show is already past the syndication mark after this year, I am not entirely sure the show is losing money for ABC (broadcaster/ studio combined I mean). I am not saying the show will be renewed, but I think it is doing better than a dead show walking like some people are treating it to be and ABC could (and has shown) it is capable of doing much much worse. So I could get behind a strategy of focusing on other slots while letting this one be. I certainly do not approve launching two new dramas Sunday back to back and the alternative is moving Nashville to this slot but if they don't have a good drama for Wednesdays at 10pm that they really want to launch in the fall, it it not necessarily a bad strategy to stay put with Revenge imo. Besides, it has shown when it aired after OUAT that it can go to Castle levels if it has a decent lead-in.
By the way, something I've noticed is that while we tend to think as some shows as "dead shows walking" from a certain point onwards, networks seem much less convinced of doing so. I was sure (and still am) Forever was a dead show walking but ABC refusal to burn off an episode on the 16/12 and it airing a freaking Forever marathon the week between Christmas and New Year's indicates to me they are still, somehow, trying with the show, which is surprising, don't you think?
Wow really excited for all this. It's super interesting to see how the league average actually grew in 02-03. I honestly expected these two averages to me much higher. Unless there was some huge drop-off at the turn of the millennium, 90s TV (in terms of raw 18-49) might have not been at the heights we all assume. Anyway, really interesting stuff though.
On a side note: I don't know if you could tell me this, Spot, but where were you able to get access to these numbers? Was it from one source or did it take a lot of digging. I've been digging for a while and can't seem to find anything.
I thought the taste would have been able to do 1.1 or 1.2 for the premiere. Below 1 for the premiere is really bad and it could even hurt ABC enough to prevent them from winning Thursdays against CBS (TNF also helps since it avoids 6 weeks of repeats on CBS).
But it's hard to come up with ideal solutions for this. The Sunday thing is horrible since whatever they try putting there just has to face events season at its peak and be dealt a horrible hand. If not by that, I would go back to the idea of an OUAT spin off to bridge the parent show but against such horrible competition I don't see the point. But Thursdays are different since these are perfectly good nights (especially the January ones) just being wasted. Maybe the taste would be ok for Sundays. Some sort of bachelor special + two hours of the taste. Both should be able to stay above 1.0 which would be okayish. But Thursdays I have no clue what they should do.
I am curious to see what Carter does. I like the idea of a version of the parent show being used as a bridge (hence the OUAT spin off idea) but I am not sure how that would apply to TGIT anyway.
Fox new drama Scream Queens is casting already. That's straight to series 15 episodes order for next fall, comedy-horror from Ryan Murphy / Brad Falchuk. Perhaps it's for Wednesday 9 PM? Because, horror part of description makes me think it's a 9 PM show, and comedy part makes me think it's not compatible with Gotham. Next, I think it would be suicidal to schedule it against TGIT. Especially if that's their highest profile new drama. Which I think it is, but I might be wrong. Finally, there's no need to move comedies from Tuesday 9 PM, as at Wed/Thu there is stronger comedy competition.
However, if I'm correct about Fox not wanting to launch new drama at Tue 9 PM / Thu 8 PM / Thu 9 PM, then it strongly suggests Sleepy Hollow would move to Thursday 9 PM next fall. Because after few bad seasons, and new regime installed, Fox surely won't premiere only 1 new drama in fall. Besides, some of stuff they're developing looks very compatible with Gotham. Like Lucifer (DC Comics), or Minority Report (sequel to the movie), or Bruckheimer's Global Fequency (based on a comic book). So I do believe they'll go with new dramas at both Mon 9 PM, and Wed 9 PM. Plus maybe one more somewhere at 8 PM. But, at 8 PM perhaps some dramedy, like The Greatest American Hero, or Potus. Anyway, number of new drams depends on if they will have 1 or 2 comedy blocks Mon-Thu, and if they'll have 2 or 3 hours of reality in fall. Plus, some midseason drama might be renewed for fall (doubtful, bat maybe Empire). But I have a feeling they'll go drama heavy next fall - I expect Mon-Fri to be 6 dramas, with 2 hours of comedy and reality each.
I don't get the belief, unless you have a show also airing in the same timeslot, that people will just see another show when they're on repeats. I've never seen that, nor do I see people say that outside of a couple exceptions. When my shows are on repeats, I'm either doing extra studying, derping around Youtube/Twitter/Tumblr or going to bed early.
Well, I think you're in denial, and that there quite a lot of stages left for you to go through.
Simply, averages. Revenge is already down to 1.24 A18-49 average. It's reasonable to assume it will remain in low 1s (and not suddenly skyrocket to 1.8, or plummet to 0.6), giving it season average of 1.1 to 1.2. Which isn't acceptable level at any of big 4 networks. That's clear cancel by ratings.
Yes, Revenge can get 13 episodes Season 5. But only if ABC Studios is making some significant money out of Revenge outside of first ratings. Which is unlikely, but possible, when we know even freaking Beauty and the Beast is making money somewhere.
No, it can't get 22 episodes. Not as a rule, but because of bad luck. ABC has only 5 timeslots (Mon 10, Tue 10, Wed 10, Sun 9 & 10) to fit in Castle, and Nashville, and all midseason renewals, and all new fall dramas.
No, retention doesn't matter for a show that came back to the end of it's road. ABC didn't kick Revenge to Sunday 10 PM (and will do same with Nashville) for no reason. They did it because it became dead weight useful only to studio, and from Sun 10 PM it does the least damage to the network. They're not considering to move Revenge into some other timeslot, and retention is important only for show network is planning/contemplating to move elsewhere.
Broadcasters get higher CPM (price per 1000 A18-49 eyeballs) every year. Here's good explanation:
"The reason broadcasting gets higher CPMs in the face of aggregate ratings declines is agencies believe they need the top 15 prime shows in broadcasting to maintain the cost efficiency of their reach curve"
Source:
http://www.broadcastingcable.com/news/advertising-and-marketing/price-gap-between-broadcast-cable-originals-gets-tighter-still/53140
Until last few seasons situation was this: Stable production cost (and airing fee), with ratings going down in high single digits, but CPM going up in high single digits (on average, different for each network, depends on how much network is able to negotiate with ad agencies during upfronts) = broadcasters were at the same level of profit (unless in unusual circumstances. like writers strike was, or global recession).
But last few seasons ratings drop is usually over 10%, while CPM rises more like 5% (at upfronts, and scatter market both) on average. Broadcasters are now trying to make up for it by asking for higher transmission fees. They're literally blackmailing MVPDs (like CBS vs Dish few days ago) to give higher fees to their OOP affiliates, and at the same time they're literally extorting higher perccantage of transmission fees from not owned affiliates (by threatening to not renew contract with station when it's up).
LOL Derp till you drop as long as JonTron approves.
Let me just add this: If we go by the current True Power Rankings, Revenge is near the bottom of the pack. The only shows above it are Forever, Resurrection, and Nashville. And the only show with an advantage is Nashville with the 3rd season and tax breaks. Meanwhile, ABC's pretty packed with dramas right now. We have the Shonda shows, Once, Shield, and Castle all ahead of the pack and at the very least likely for next season. (Things can change, but let's just get to that when we get to that)
So, with 7 dramas (including Nashville) likely to return, and that's excluding American Crime, Secrets and Lies, Agent Carter, and The Whispers if any of these stick, where would Revenge be? At best, maybe as filler a la Mentalist and/or if drama development is really bad this season. And, if we assume that fall will have a new Sunday drama, a new Tuesday drama, and a third drama for either Wednesday or Thursday, that's 10+ dramas for next fall. I just don't see Revenge, stuck with shows that have either went below 1 or just barely getting there being worth the extra money.
But this is just me.
This is some stuff I'll expend some hours reading. History of broadcast tv and the trends are very exciting, can't wait for the data.
Well, that's why my idea was for a final season of Revenge tailored made to take up 2 hours of the hiatus with something like Rookie Blue or Motive taking up the other slot. It would be a cheap alternative and probably keep them on the map more than the Taste and Murder repeats are
Good news for TNT: The Librarians premiered at around 1.25 in A18-49, with 5.4 mill. total viewers, and around 1.75 in A25-54. That's really good, a tad higher than very good The Last Ship premiere numbers.
Bad news for TNT: They now have Reilly, he'll ruin everything somehow. That man picked up some shows of the highest quality wherever he worked (FX, NBC, Fox), but he can't pick ratings winners to save his life.
Hard to do any mock schedule right now, but could FOX 2015 fall schedule look like that?
Mondays:
Gotham/one of the new projects you mentioned
Tuesdays:
Hell's Kitchen/New Girl/Mindy
Wednesdays:
one of the dramedies/Scream Queens
Thursdays:
Bones/Sleepy Hollow
Fridays:
Masterchef Jr/who cares
Sundays:
Simpsons/B99/Family Guy/Bordertown
Ramsay shows are interchangeable, Masterchef Jr seems to be the stronger show right now and they are the only options at the reality department unless they want to bring something new to be a breakout hit like Utopia.
He renewed Legends (averaged 0.32 in A18-49) already, he'll cancel every winner TNT has and make them USA Network 2.0.
USA is just sad right now, only Suits can manage to do above 0.7, they've been so bad that Royal Pains got a two-season renewal despite losing a third of its audience (and it lost a third on the previous two seasons too).
TNT has their future set, just replacing the SVU/NCIS reruns for Castle and Supernatural.
Bones is iffy with Deschanel pregnant again. I mean, that combined with ratings now being around 1.3... I'm not sure it returns as I was month or so ago.
But yes, something like that. However, I have some questions. And, unfortunately, I don't have answers because I agree with you it's too early.
1. Why not another comedy block? I mean, New Girl is not ratings hit anymore, and Mindy / B99 were never. It's logical to try some new comedies, then. And, will new chiefs allow only new comedy to be Bordertown, the one inherited from previous regime? But you have 2 new dramedies, so perhaps that fits the bill.
2. Why not new reality show instead of Hell's Kitchen? Doesn't matter which weekday. If that newbie would pull Utopia, they can always move MasterChef Junior to a weekday (like they did this year), and summon Hell's Kitchen to Friday. Right?
3. New drama into new drama on Wednesday? That's always risky business. But it's OK if they see potential in that 8 PM show. Plus, beggars can't be choosers.
On the other hand, it makes your schedule is having 3 dramas at 8 PM, and network always try to avoid dramas at 8 PM. I would definitely like to see one more reality or comedy occupying 8 PM slot. Problem is I don't know how to do such schedule. I mean, I can make one, but that one would look less good than yours is, so there's no point. I'll figure one out until May.
Yeah I suppose you are right. I wouldn't mind that schedule. But I think long term, ABC has the right idea with trying reality there. It should be a reality show to bridge this type of hiatuses. Not only it works better because of the length of the episodes but it would also be better to wait a year to bring back. They need to develop their second tier reality shows better (it's the same problem NBC is having, although NBC actually has a pretty decent stable in the summer while ABC is stuck with Extreme Weight Loss and Wife Swap for the most part)
FOX has announced summer airing for Wayward Pines.I am not sure we will be able to judge this one by usual standards though. The show will air simultaneously in more than 125 countries so there are probably some weird financials behind it.
Fox said the same thing about Terra Nova and Touch.
Then, it's just a may premiere, like Gang Related = cancel (confident).
Because it's got limited-run all over it, I think the best scheduling for Scream Queens will be wherever American Idol is planned to take over the schedule. Wednesday at 9:00 makes sense as a de facto lead-in for American Horror Story on F/X, but I think 8:00 would be better. The competition there is minimal at best. And Ryan Murphy's shows, if they hit, burn really bright at the outset so funnel that audience into another program. Fox can hedge their bets and put Sleepy Hollow as its lead-out if they don't want to go 100% new.
If not Wednesdays, then Scream Queens should go Thursdays at 8:00 for the same logic as above.
Mondays: Gotham / New drama
Tuesdays: Masterchef Jr. / New Girl / Mindy Project
Wednesdays: New sitcoms / Empire
Thursdays: Scream Queens / Sleepy Hollow
Fridays: Reruns
Sundays: Bob's Burgers / The Simpsons / Brooklyn Nine-Nine / Family Guy / Bordertown
Even with Scorpion in the slot, Mondays are the best launching pad for Fox's most promising drama just because of Gotham. I would not strand MasterChef Jr. on Fridays due to its strength and how it's apparently helped New Girl stabilize. Keep Tuesdays as is and give Hell's Kitchen a breather; I'd rather Fox put Hotel Hell back in production
Wednesday feels like a better opportunity for launching new sitcoms. Fox's brand is very different than ABC's so I don't expect another Happy Endings/Apt. 23 vs. New Girl/Mindy Project again (other than being completely idiotic scheduling-wise, I think ABC's logic was putting those shows there would blunt Fox's block; little did they know they'd self-immolate anyway). And I say hedge the bets by keeping Empire there if it's a renewable drama.
In all honestly, Wednesdays and Thursday could switch entirely and I'm ok with that. It makes more sense to have Scream Queens / Sleepy Hollow on Wednesday since American Idol initially takes over the night in January anyway. But a Thursday run would allow the limited-run shows to air almost straight-through since the World Series will continue to dodge the NFL as much as possible.
Sundays I'm assuming that Bordertown will be renewable and/or it'll be tied with getting another season of Family Guy. Sorry Bob's, back to 7:30 you go.
I've pulled Bones from the schedule since I'm assuming it'll have less than a full season's worth of episode's due to Deschanel's pregnancy. So keep it, American Idol, Are You Smarter Than a 5th Grader (if it's renewable), and other sitcoms/dramas in the back pocket for midseason.
Your schedule assumes Fox having only 1 hour of reality, which never happens. Could be, but I doubt it.
MasterChef Junior has those short 7-8 episodes cycle, so it probably will premiere in November again, to avoid baseball caused hiatus. They should announce it for Friday, and then play by the ear.
If new sitcoms would be female oriented, I would rather have them on Tuesday 8 PM. If they would do good, it would help 9 PM block. If they would bomb, Fox can simply insert MCJ there in November like they did his year. If not female oriented, then Wed 8 PM, yes. In my opinion, much better than Thu 9 PM vs TBBT.
If content of Scream Queens isn't too gore, then it leading into Sleepy Hollow looks like very good idea. BTW, it is fixed 15 episodes order, and they say it would be anthology series like AHS, if renewed.
Other than those nitpicking remarks, I like your schedule.
As much as I would prefer Hell's Kitchen sticking to a summer-only schedule, that appears to be doubtful. What Fox could do is specifically start their Tuesday night weeks early so MasterChef Jr. can finish its run before the baseball hiatus (and give the sitcoms a few weeks of a head start), then start Hell's Kitchen post-World Series. I'd rather something like Are You Smarter Than a 5th Grader or Hotel Hell be penciled in for Fridays and called up to fill in a failed show than MC Jr. since those can be more self-contained a la Shark Tank or Undercover Boss.
I get putting female-skewing comedies on Tuesdays. And I agree with your implication that male-leaning ones should not go there (not just because of the skew discrepancy but because of The Flash). I just think they'd stand a better chance not going against The Voice. But swapping that comedy block hour with MC Jr. is also doable; that would also come with the benefit of giving Empire a sturdier lead-in.
And just start Scream Queens / Sleepy Hollow a few weeks early to finish by mid-December, giving them a headstart on Grey's Anatomy and Scandal & The Blacklist. If CBS gets Thursday Night Football again, it's a bonus since it may be able to avoid the tail-end of Big Brother's season.
The thing is they still have time to develop new reality show. They picked Utopia in late January, and it was ready for early September.
Yes, I doubt they would go after something of so high profile, not after being burnt by Utopia and The X-Factor. But something more ambitious than "Are You Smarter Than a 5th Grader?", why not? Then they can have fall without Ramsey (other than MCJ), and maybe Hell's Kitchen only in summer (depends on how many show fails). It would br up to expectations from that hypothetical reality show if it would go to Friday, or to a weekday, but I believe they'll order something like that soon.
Congrats, dude. Looking forward to reading on this. Even if I don't have any particular shows I wanna hear about from this stack. (as opposed to, say, Threat Matrix in the 2003-04 set)
That's a pretty bad y2y trend for It's a Wonderful Life. I hope it pops up for the Christmas eve showing. Lovely film
Are the ACC and Big Ten Championships not going to count for ABC's and Fox's respective college football ratings averages? They did last year, but they also have the 1/1 rank which implies they won't this year.
I haven't decided for sure, but I'm leaning toward taking the championship games out of the averages in previous years.
For something like the Super Bowl I get it since it's not the typical Sunday Night Football game (and not always on NBC). But it's not a given that the championship games unfairly skew the averages; both ABC and Fox had a game earlier this season that outranks these.
On a related note: ABC should really just air FSU games next season since it's the most reliable way to get above mid-1's.
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