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Monday, November 17, 2014

The Question, Monday 11/17/14: What is the State of Affairs in the Post-Voice Timeslot?


Approximately halfway between September premiere week and January premiere week, usually very light time of year for new series premieres, NBC is trotting out one of its biggest new drama hopes of the season. State of Affairs is another drama in the political thriller space that has seen plenty of recent successes like Scandal, The Blacklist and Homeland. This particular show is most notable as a vehicle for the highly polarizing Katherine Heigl, returning to TV after once finding fame on Grey's Anatomy. What is the State of Affairs in the post-Voice timeslot? That's The Question for Monday, November 17, 2014.

Monday post-The Voice Drama Launches
3.8 (Smash, 2/6/12, 6.7 The Voice)
4.1 (Revolution, 9/17/12, 4.7 The Voice)
3.8 (The Blacklist, 9/23/13, 5.1 The Voice)
2.7 (Believe, 3/10/14, 3.7 The Voice)

Unlike NBC's other post-Voice drama premieres, State of Affairs premieres very late in The Voice's season. So not only does it have a limited time with that lead-in, but it also doesn't start out with the benefit of the much stronger blind auditions. Tonight, The Voice is likely to be in the low 3's (it got just a 3.2 last week), which may set up SoA for a lower debut than the other dramas. Though I'm not seeing Blacklist potential for this show, I think the rather exhaustive promotion gets the premiere very close to recent The Blacklist deliveries (which have gotten 2.4-2.5ish).

Over/Under: 2.35.

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