| Premieres/Averages/Finales |
| 2.9/1.67/1.2 (New Girl) 1.9/1.28/1.3 (The Mindy Project) |
Last season, Fox rang up big numbers on pre-premiere Tuesday, which included the premieres of Dads (2.2) and Brooklyn Nine-Nine (2.6) in the 8:00 hour. New Girl's 2.9 was a whooping eight tenths ahead of any result the rest of the season (aside from the post-Super Bowl airing), while Mindy's 1.9 was 0.4 above the next highest ep. It will be very tough to repeat those bounces with Utopia airing at 8/7c; it'll do only about a third of last year's comedy hour rating. However, the utter lack of competition should still get these shows past last year's 1.2/1.3 finales (and probably, again, above any ratings the rest of the season).
New Girl PLUS The Mindy Project Over/Under: 2.85.
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31 comments:
FOX. Under. Enough said.
Over.
3.1 : New Girl 1.7, Mindy 1.4. I calculated those numbers some time ago, but buy now I've forgotten which kooky method I used. Maybe that's for the best.
I love Mindy, hoping for the best, but it feels hard to be optimistic on this one. Under
Under.
Although its competition is less potent than in the regular TV season, this Fox hour is up against the AGT performance finale on NBC which will be no slouch.
Last Tuesday, "Hotel Hell" delivered a 0.9 after "Utopia." In the case of today's game, that would translate into a 1.8. The comedies should be more appealing offerings than that Ramsay show, but I predict they won't draw that much higher.
BTW, "Utopia" is an already-made ratings bomb. Fox cannot keep that junk on Tuesdays much longer.
Over
Optimism strikes again. OVER.
Kinda funny how last year New Girl got a 2.9 and now it AND Mindy are the line
Under.
This would be easier if you were asking us to predict the full season!
Under
I expect Utopia to drop and don't expect New Girl to double that or The Mindy Project to hold all of New Girl. There is a borderline case that would give a 2.9, but I'll go with Under
New Girl 1.5
Mindy 1.3
Close, but UNDER at a 2.8
Under
UNDER.
1.4 for New Girl
1.2 for The Mindy Project
Under. I consider Fox Tuesdays a dumpster fire until further notice.
Over.
New Girl: 1.8
Mindy Project: 1.4
Under
Over
While Utopia's not the best lead-in for it, the show's pretty established so I think it could do OK. I'll give it a 2.1.
Mindy...I'm not too sure. I'll give it a 1.6
I think a 2.85 is kinda low, but anything can happen
Over (but barely)
New Girl 1.5
Mindy Project 1.4
...and then both regularly in the sub 1's after tonight.
Over. They had a good start last season, and even though the 8:00 hour was way stronger, I don't think something like a 1.6/1.4 is inconceivable.
Optimism didn't pay last night. This has as many red (and black[*]) flags as Michael Waltrip on Dancing W/ The Stars. Under.
[*For those who don't know, in racing, the black flag is the penalty flag. A driver has two options when this is displayed for them - pull into the pits to serve a pass through or stop-and-go penalty, depending on the severity of the infraction, or stop being scored w/in three laps (this is signaled by another black flag, w/ a white X mark across it, commonly referred to as "the black flag with the white cross").]
Over slightly at 1.6/1.3. Surely that's not too much to hope for?!
Over. A little more confident in this one than I was for DWTS. Utopia will be an absolute horror of a lead-in, but I definitely wouldn't label these two shows as "lead-in dependent." New Girl almost always built on Glee and Mindy has quite the momentum in terms of retention. Additionally, Fox typically does noticeably well pre-premiere week. I think this hour might remain somewhat of a bright spot in the fast crumbling Fox, but maybe I'm wrong and Fox is in for even bigger colapse than expected.
Um...over with 2.9. Just b/c zero competition.
Under
Over
Under. Utopia's just going to be such a bad lead-in, and I don't know if NG can self-start anymore.
I'm probably going to get burned again but it just seems too big an annual collapse for me so OVER
Oof, another good line... Under.
Over, out of sheer optimism.
I really don't know about this one. I'm gonna go with Over.
Over at 2.9 (ironically, New Girl premiered to that rating last season).
Under
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