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Monday, August 18, 2014

Schedules Plus Update, Fox (2013-14)


Schedules Plus looks at the evolution of network schedules and timeslots using fairer numbers adjusted for historical decline. These update posts will link back to the now updated full posts for each day, and the update posts have exclusive comparisons vs. last year's schedule (in parenthesses) and vs. the full 11-year historical average (in the "VsAvg" row).

Many more disclaimers can be seen on the individual pages. Fox overhauls its schedule at midseason so consistently that I did separate fall/winter versions on the Fox posts, so that will give a sense of what the network had in January/February. But even this approach was insufficient this season, since the network made another sweeping wave of changes in the spring. I'll mention most of those.

More 2013-14 Schedules Plus updates: ABC | CBS | NBC | Fox | CW



Monday

Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 Bones The Mob Doctor 74
101 46
2013-14 Bones Sleepy Hollow 117
(+59%)
95 (-6%) 138 (+201%)

Avg 99 81 90
VsAvg -3% +70% +30%
Rank 7/11 1/11 2/11

Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 Bones The Following 113
101 125
2013-14 Almost Human The Following 97
(-15%)
100 (-1%) 93 (-26%)

Avg 112 119 115
VsAvg -11% -22% -16%
Rank 7/11 9/11 11/11

Based on how miserably Fox's season ended, it's easy to forget that some things actually went pretty well for them in the fall. By far the most significant win was Sleepy Hollow, which gets the added benefit here of being compared with one of the biggest flops in recent memory. But the Monday picture soured considerably as the season went on, starting with a major sophomore slump for The Following (the only new hit on the big four last regular season). Bones returned to Monday after Almost Human's run and really struggled. (The 95 listed above averages all Monday episodes, but it was a 111 for the fall episodes and 81 for the spring ones.) With filler-level stuff replacing The X Factor on Wednesday and Thursday, Monday (starting with Gotham) will become the network's great hope this fall.



Tuesday

Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 Raising Hope Ben and Kate New Girl The Mindy Project 81
75 64 109 74
70 92
2013-14 Dads Brooklyn Nine-Nine New Girl The Mindy Project 78
(-4%)
74 (-2%) 86 (+34%) 89 (-19%) 68 (-8%)
77 (+11%) 78 (-14%)

Avg 98 113 106
VsAvg -22% -31% -27%
Rank 8/11 10/11 10/11

Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 Hell's Kitchen New Girl The Mindy Project 94
96 109 74
92
2013-14 Glee New Girl Brooklyn Nine-Nine 67
(-28%)
50 (-48%) 89 (-19%) 67 (-9%)
84 (-8%)

Avg 231 153 192
VsAvg -78% -45% -65%
Rank 11/11 10/11 11/11

This was really the only Fox night that stacks up poorly historically both in the fall and the winter, with New Girl's rapid flame-out being a major culprit. The 8/7c hour in the fall did not go nearly as badly as it could have as Brooklyn Nine-Nine pulled off major timeslot growth. But the winter arrangement was a total debacle, as a crumbling Glee was asked to lead off a night for some reason and Brooklyn Nine-Nine saw no benefit from a New Girl pairing. Since this was American Idol's performance night for most of the era, that means the winter sked was sixty-five percent below average.



Wednesday

Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 The X Factor 139
139 139
2013-14 The X Factor 94
(-32%)
94 (-32%) 94 (-32%)

Avg 96 99 98
VsAvg -2% -5% -4%
Rank 5/11 5/11 4/11

Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 American Idol 185
185 185
2013-14 American Idol 142
(-23%)
142 (-23%) 142 (-23%)

Avg 183 218 201
VsAvg -23% -35% -29%
Rank 7/11 9/11 11/11

The X Factor went from hit to below-average (and cancelled) in season three, and American Idol continued its rapid descent as well. Amusingly, X was still pretty close to the fall historical average even after all this collapse, which only illustrates how much trouble Fox used to have in the fall.



Thursday

Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 The X Factor Glee 122
132 111
2013-14 The X Factor Glee 87
(-28%)
89 (-33%) 85 (-23%)

Avg 86 74 80
VsAvg +4% +16% +9%
Rank 5/11 3/11 4/11

Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 American Idol Glee 137
175 99
2013-14 American Idol Rake 98
(-29%)
137 (-22%) 59 (-40%)

Avg 120 79 99
VsAvg +14% -25% -2%
Rank 4/11 8/11 5/11

The third cog in Fox's music-themed empire was Glee, and it arguably had an even rougher season than the reality series! (The Thursday average gets a ten-point inflation due to the Cory Monteith tribute episode, but it took another huge step down on Tuesday.) Fox then tried a House rip-off in the winter, but the old American Idol/House magic was clearly gone as Rake became one of the season's biggest disasters. Later in the season came Hell's Kitchen (88), a return to the 30-minute Idol results show at 9/8c, and another newbie failure in comedy Surviving Jack (60).



Friday

Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 Kitchen Nightmares Fringe 50
54 46
2013-14 MasterChef Junior (repeats) 57
(+13%)
74 (+38%) 39 (-15%)

Avg 46 43 44
VsAvg +63% -9% +28%
Rank 1/11 8/11 1/11

Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 Kitchen Nightmares Touch 43
54 33
2013-14 Bones Enlisted Raising Hope 58
(+35%)
82 35 35
35 (+5%)

Avg 53 48 51
VsAvg +55% -28% +15%
Rank 1/11 10/11 2/11

Another of Fox's quiet wins in the fall was an unprecedented Friday foothold with MasterChef Junior, which was (surprisingly to me) considerably stronger than Kitchen Nightmares ever was on this night. The network then did even better when it finally followed through on the long-promised Bones move to Friday... until it was sent back to Monday after airing just seven hours on Friday. That left Enlisted and Raising Hope to air after repeats and Rake, completely shattering any minor momentum the hour may have had.



Sunday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2012-13 The Simpsons Bob's Burgers Family Guy American Dad! 110
118 92 128 101
105 115
2013-14 The Simpsons Bob's Burgers Family Guy American Dad! 114
(+3%)
118 (-0%) 105 (+14%) 124 (-3%) 107 (+6%)
112 (+6%) 116 (+1%)

Avg 108 104 106
VsAvg +4% +11% +7%
Rank 3/11 4/11 4/11

The Bob's Burgers and American Dad! averages only include episodes aired in these timeslots, which inflates them considerably since they moved to the 7:00 hour in the spring (when their ratings would've been lower even in the listed slots). Like the anchors, they would've been even to very slightly down in Plus if just comparing fall and winter numbers. Just like on several other nights, Fox busted up this relatively fine lineup late in the season, this time in favor of the documentary series Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey (78). And they're dropping Dad! and downgrading Burgers again in the fall to air live-action comedies at the bottoms of the hours.

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