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Monday, August 4, 2014

Schedules Plus Update, CBS (2013-14)


Schedules Plus looks at the evolution of network schedules and timeslots using fairer numbers adjusted for historical decline. These update posts will link back to the now updated full posts for each day, and the update posts have exclusive comparisons vs. last year's schedule (in parenthesses) and vs. the full 11-year historical average (in the "VsAvg" row).

Many more disclaimers can be seen on the individual pages, but the most basic one to keep in mind is that the listed schedules are fall lineups, even when midseason replacements may have done much better. (But I try to mention those midseason replacements that did better.)

More 2013-14 Schedules Plus updates: ABC | CBS | NBC | Fox | CW



Monday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2012-13 How I Met Your Mother Partners 2 Broke Girls Mike and MollyHawaii Five-0 125
152 98 160 135102
125 148
2013-14 How I Met Your Mother 2 Broke Girls Mike and Molly MomHostages 111
(-11%)
180 (+18%) 134 (+37%) 115 (-28%) 111 (-18%)63 (-38%)
157 (+26%) 113 (-23%)

Avg 116 143 133 130
VsAvg +36% -21% -52% -15%
Rank 2/11 9/11 11/11 11/11

The departing How I Met Your Mother started off at 8/7c with the network's best lead-off ratings in the era, and 2 Broke Girls (which replaced We Are Men (101) very early) actually had the second-best numbers at 8:30, trailing only season one of 2BG two years previous. But Mike and Molly was the lowest-rated 9/8c anchor, and the second hour trailed all previous occupants except for the first couple years after Everybody Loves Raymond ended. And the 10/9c hour was the kind of dumpster fire rarely seen on CBS, with midseason replacement Intelligence (71) only barely outrating Hostages if you take out its post-NCIS premiere. All this was a recipe for a major shake-up in fall 2014, with only one hour of comedies, the new drama Scorpion at 9/8c, and hopefully reliable NCIS: Los Angeles at 10/9c.



Tuesday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2012-13 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesVegas 125
159 133 82
2013-14 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesPerson of Interest 128
(+2%)
149 (-6%) 129 (-3%) 105 (+28%)

Avg 121 113 85 106
VsAvg +23% +14% +24% +20%
Rank 4/11 4/11 1/11 2/11

In a rare down year for the NCIS twins, CBS Tuesday still slightly improved year-to-year overall due to Person of Interest pulling CBS' best-yet ratings in one of its worst hours historically. This lineup only trailed 2011-12 historically (in which Unforgettable was 10 points weaker than PoI but the NCIS duo were each over five points stronger).



Wednesday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2012-13 Survivor Criminal MindsCSI 127
136 136 109
2013-14 Survivor Criminal MindsCSI 121
(-4%)
131 (-3%) 132 (-3%) 101 (-7%)

Avg 91 118 107 105
VsAvg +44% +12% -5% +15%
Rank 4/11 4/11 9/11 4/11

A third straight year for this three-hour lineup some more minor depreciation in each hour (though Survivor was basically even if the spring comparison (127 vs. last year's 122) is added in). CBS finally opted to make a change in the hour that was down the most, as newbie Stalker will debut at 10/9c. Still, it was way ahead of the Wednesday historical average because 8/7c was such a trouble spot in the pre-Survivor years.



Thursday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2012-13 The Big Bang Theory Two and a Half Men Person of InterestElementary 153
249 180137107
215
2013-14 The Big Bang Theory The Millers The Crazy Ones Two and a Half MenElementary 137
(-10%)
269 (+8%) 140 (-22%) 111 12192 (-14%)
204 (-5%) 116 (-16%)

Avg 167 167 119 151
VsAvg +23% -31% -23% -9%
Rank 2/11 11/11 11/11 7/11

Much like Monday, Thursday saw the best ratings yet in the 8/7c half-hour (and in fact, the best Plus ratings for a broadcast scripted program in a decade). However, the hour as a whole dropped year-to-year due to The Millers, and things really soured on a historical basis in the last two hours. The comedy combo just barely fell behind the weakest year of CSI (117), while Elementary fell behind the weakest post-CSI occupants Shark (102) and Eleventh Hour (99).



Friday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2012-13 Undercover Boss CSI: NYBlue Bloods 70
76 67 66
2013-14 Undercover Boss Hawaii Five-0Blue Bloods 77
(+10%)
80 (+5%) 76 (+13%) 74 (+12%)

Avg 70 64 69 68
VsAvg +15% +17% +7% +13%
Rank 3/11 1/11 5/11 1/11

Friday was by far the biggest pleasant surprise on the CBS schedule in 2013-14. In no way did I see Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods both making double-digit improvements, and Blue Bloods ended up with a career-high Plus. Undercover Boss and Blue Bloods each lagged a bit behind the strongest years of Ghost Whisperer and Numb3rs in their respective hours, but Five-0 was enough of an improvement at 9/8c that it was still the network's strongest overall Friday yet. Even this night gets a shake-up next fall as The Amazing Race bumps Undercover Boss back to midseason duty.



Sunday


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2012-13 The Amazing Race The Good WifeThe Mentalist 94
121 79 82
2013-14 The Amazing Race The Good WifeThe Mentalist 87
(-8%)
107 (-12%) 76 (-4%) 77 (-6%)

Avg 107 83 82 91
VsAvg -0% -9% -5% -5%
Rank 5/11 8/11 7/11 8/11

CBS Sunday fell to its weakest ratings since the days of the regular movie night in the mid-aughts. The real surprise here was just how far The Amazing Race fell (and it was down even more in the spring (93)), returning to its late-aughts level even with the occasional help from an increasingly potent NFL. That got it demoted to Friday... but while it had the worst trend in 2013-14, it still isn't CBS' real problem on this night. Madam Secretary replacing the Race could make things even uglier.

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