| Scandal This Season |
| 3.6 (premiere, 10/3/13) 3.4 (spring premiere, 2/27/14) 3.03 (average) 2.9 -> 3.1 -> 2.9 -> 3.0 (last four weeks) |
Neither of Scandal's previous finales are particularly helpful here. In season one, it had a 20%ish spike (1.9 -> 2.3), but at that point it was really still riding the Grey's Anatomy coattails, and that show had a similar growth. Scandal will not pick up any benefits from a Grey's finale bounce tonight, as that show continues airing into May. In season two, it had a major spike in the penultimate week and then didn't even grow week-to-week for the finale (3.2 -> 3.2) on an uber-crowded night. Maybe the best comp is the fall 2013 run, which had the same penultimate rating (3.0) as this spring run and went up to 3.2 for the fall finale. I expect a season finale to go up by a tick or two more than a midseason finale.
Over/Under: 3.35.
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19 comments:
Over with 3.5.
Over. I think the episode last week left a couple of big things in play so going with fan optimism!
OVER.
I predicted a 3.3 at TVMI but with a baseline like 3.35, all Scandal must do is at least a 3.36. That seems like a simple task for this red-hot drama. I'm predicting the Over.
Over
Under (3.3)
Over.
Side note: it's funny that you mention the NCIS/Scandal ratings race considering that CBS is airing a NCIS rerun tonight against it.
Over. 3.4-3.5.
Over, just because why not?
I'll go with this too. For the same reasoning.
Over.
I really have no idea. But this broadcast show had very cableish ratings trajectory so far. Then let's assume lot of people will want to see season finale live, like it happens with cable shows. Such speculation leads me to picking over. But it's mere speculation, I have no facts to support my claims.
It is Maundy Thursday, which last year both Grey's Anatomy and Scandal fell a tenth on.
.
Similarly, NBC was double pumping 1600 Penn for the finale to make room for Go On as CBS is doing to The Crazy Ones for Bad Teacher.
.
Idol also hit an all time low of a 2.8 last Maundy Thursday (which would be a great rating for it this season).
I'm going to say under, because even though it isn't a major holiday, a lot of people get off Good Friday tomorrow, so it is the start of the weekend for a lot of people
Over
Over with a 3.4
Over. A 3.4.
I've been burned going under on TWD enough, and Scandal is its only remote broadcast equivalent. Over!
Under (3.3)
What is Scandal's A18-49+ currently with the preliminary finale rating included?
159. The next few weeks should bring the league average down enough for low-160's by season's end.
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