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Wednesday, February 5, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Super Bowl Sunday 2/2/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • After many years of classic Super Bowls, 2014 threw us a good old '90s-style stinker, a game that was pretty much decided by halftime. (Or maybe the first play after halftime if you're being conservative.) I'm much more interested in the half-hour breakdowns, as this blowout will be particularly educational in how much "game quality" matters to the rating. UPDATE: Despite the terrible game, this year's Super Bowl still amazingly set a new viewership record with 112.191 million, going past the 111.35 million from two years ago. However, the adults 18-49 rating (39.3) was down 1% from last year's 39.7. I was going to put all the half-hour breakdown info on this post, but I'm saving it for a separate one later this afternoon.
  • New Girl (11.4) and Brooklyn Nine-Nine (6.9) did just a bit better than I was expecting in a wayyy worse game than I was expecting; their post-game show lead-in was down 14% year-to-year. The 9.1 average for the hour doesn't stack up well historically, especially among shows that start at a reasonable time (New Girl began at 10:23), but these shows were also among the weakest post-Bowl shows going in. So Fox will probably be able to call this at least an OK performance, not that it will make a lot of difference for the shows going forward.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
America's Funniest Home Videos (R) 0.4 23% -74% +14% 0.5
America's Funniest Home Videos (R) 0.3 15% -81% -54% 0.8
Shark Tank (R) 0.6 34% -61% +9% 1.3
Shark Tank (R) 1.1 38% +100% +120% 1.6
ABC:-54%+17%
60 Minutes (R) 0.4 14% n/a n/a 0.5
The Good Wife (R) 0.3 15% n/a n/a 0.8
The Mentalist (R) 0.4 18% n/a n/a 1.0
NCIS (R) 1.0 19% n/a n/a n/a
CBS:-96%-99%
Dateline Sun (R) 0.4 22% -88% +7% 0.5
Movie: Little Fockers 0.7 37% n/a -81% +33% 1.2
NBC:-84%+7%
Super Bowl 39.3 44% n/an/an/a 1/1 -1% n/a n/a 25.9
Super Bowl Postgame 25.5 49% n/an/an/a 1/1 -14% n/a n/a 10.9
New Girl post-SB 11.4 55% n/an/an/a 1/1 n/a n/a n/a 4.2
Fox:+2425%+5144%
Big4:+154%-16%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

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