| Recent Fox Comedy Premieres |
| 3.1 (Raising Hope, 9/21/10, 5.6 Glee) 2.4 (Running Wilde, 9/21/10, 3.1 Raising Hope) 1.9 (Traffic Light, 2/8/11, 2.7 Raising Hope) 3.5 (Breaking In, 4/6/11, 7.8 American Idol) 4.8 (New Girl, 9/20/11, 4.0 Glee) 2.8 (I Hate My Teenage Daughter, 11/30/11, 4.1 X Factor) 2.1 (Ben and Kate, 9/25/12, 2.8 New Girl) 2.4 (The Mindy Project, 9/25/12, 2.8 New Girl) |
Most of the Fox comedies have started decently enough, but then most of them had pretty good lead-in support. That won't be the case here, as this mis-matched duo has to self-start. Still, these shows have attracted enough attention that they could get close to the numbers for the relatively unappealing Ben and Kate against no competition.
Dads PLUS Brooklyn Nine-Nine Over/Under: 3.85.
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23 comments:
Possibly the weakest competition for a premiere I've ever seen. And that Sleepy Hollow number suggests there were plenty of demo eyeballs that caught the trailers for tonight's comedy hour.
Over, but with Dads getting one of the biggest week two drops ever recorded in the Spotted database.
Over.
(Sorry to nitpick but thought I'd point out Glee should be down as a 4.0 on 9/20/11 - hopefully BNN grows tonight just like NG did to pick up the slack from Dads).
Not a comedy
Over.
Dads- 2.2
Brooklyn 9-9- 2.5
TOTAL: 4.7
Didn't Sleepy Hollow go against pretty much nothing? Well, I guess DWTS which would seem to have low viewer overlap.
DWTS, American Ninja Warrior and the comedy repeats were all much stronger than what their respective networks will offer tonight. (Plus Monday Night Football.) I agree there wasn't much overlap, but you can say that of what Sleepy Hollow faces in the regular season too.
Three weeks ago I would have taken the under, but I'll bet on Fox continuing to ride a decent first-week wave and say over.
Dads: 2.2
9-9: 2.4
Over, but I'm not sure it'll be enough. I have to admit that I boosted each number by three tenths after my big Sleepy Hollow miss.
Under. Dads will tank immediately, and even if Brooklyn 9-9 doesn't get dragged down to the same number (or worse!), I don't think it does well enough to cover the difference.
Dads will outrated Brooklyn Nine Nine 2.2 to 1.8. OVER.
Over
Over
Over. I think the insane level of negative Dads criticism should attract viewers looking to find out just how bad it is, along with Family Guy fans, and B99 should be enough to garner a decent sampling audience as long as Dads isn't so bad it loses its audience before the episode is over.
Over
Dads: 1.9
Nine-Nine: 2.0
Total of 2.9, so barely Over. I don't think either will really succeed (although I watched & like B99), but there's zero competition.
Dads was so good! The joke about the ways to kill Hitler was very politically incorrect, but one of the funniest things I have seen on TV in a long time.
Over.
I'm picking over. This is your chance to break out.
Over!
A bit over. I could see both getting in the low-2 range. Promotion has been pretty good, and there's no competition.
Long-term, I think Dads fizzles fast because shows *this* bad basically never succeed. I think Brooklyn Nine-Nine will probably be the 30 Rock/Mindy Project of this season - low-rated from the start, but keeps getting renewed because of the networks' trust in the creative talent behind the show.
Unfortunately, I underestimated America's capacity for idiocy re: Dads. Ironically, I figured 2.5 would be about the upper limit for Brooklyn 99 regardless of the Dads rating.
I stuck with the Dads pilot because I like the actors. It was uneven, but there was enough there to give it a second look.
I like Seth Green as much as the next Robot Chicken fan, but if I really want to see/hear him on my TV, I'll just stick w/ that.
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