Recent Fox Drama Premieres |
3.1 (Terra Nova, 9/26/11) 1.7 (The Finder, 1/12/12, 2.5 Bones) 3.3 (Alcatraz, 1/16/12) 3.9 (Touch, 1/25/12, 7.1 American Idol) 1.5 (The Mob Doctor, 9/17/12, 2.4 Bones) 3.2 (The Following, 1/21/13, 2.5 Bones) |
The recent drama premiere history on Fox suggests there's not much room for a middling premiere; everything's either above 3.0 or well below 2.0. But I'm saying this goes somewhere in the 2's nonetheless. I'd be surprised if this concept has anywhere near as little opening appeal as The Mob Doctor, and I'd be surprised if it can get up to the Terra Nova/Alcatraz/Following low-3's level as well. So I'm probably gonna be surprised. I just don't know in which direction.
Over/Under: 2.45.
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13 comments:
UNDER. Haven't been right yet, though.
My guess is that you are actually wrong by being right (lol) meaning that 2.4-2.5 is actually my guess. I don't see either a huge premiere or a terrible start. But as you went exactly for the middle range I wanted you still make me guess. I will go over just because I think it is too depressing to start under the fall.
Under
Good line. I was thinking either 2.4 or 2.5. I'm going to go with Under.
Under.
Under at a 1.9.
I am only 1-3 right now (my one correct pick was MSQ)
Over. Good reviews along with an odd premise that initially suggested so-bad-its-good will hopefully mean it gets "serious" viewers and the ironic 'The Cape' watching crowd.
Under.
Under
Under at 2.2.
Under
Over.
Incidentally, anyone have guesses on Dancing with the Stars? I would have gone 3.15 on that one.
Under. More like Lone Star than The Following.
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