| Recent NBC Drama Premieres |
| 1.6 (The Playboy Club, 9/19/11, 1.9 Sing-Off) 1.8 (Prime Suspect, 9/22/11, 3.3 Whitney) 2.1 (Grimm, 10/28/11, 1.1 Chuck) 1.4 (The Firm, 1/8/12, 1.7 Dateline) 3.8 (Smash, 2/6/12, 7.7 The Voice) 2.0 (Awake, 3/1/12, 1.7 Up All Night) 4.1 (Revolution, 9/17/12, 5.1 The Voice) 1.9 (Chicago Fire, 10/10/12, 1.9 SVU) 2.0 (Deception, 1/7/13, 2.6 Biggest Loser) 0.9 (Do No Harm, 1/31/13, 1.9 Office) |
I'm roughly repeating the same over/under I used for Do No Harm, adding an extra tenth. It was clearly nuts to think Do No Harm would get that, given that show had absolutely nothing going for it. But it's about where Awake, a concept that had at least some appeal out of the gate, probably would've premiered given this timeslot 13 months later. Hannibal should have at least some appeal out of the gate as well. Does it have markedly more or less appeal than Awake? It has a "name," but I personally preferred Awake's promos, so I'm calling it a wash.
Over/Under: 1.65.
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15 comments:
Over.
I think it might surprise. I can see people watching this.
Under
Sounds a lot more decent than Do No Harm and I don't see much Scandal cross-over so should at least have an alright start even in an otherwise bad situation. Over.
Over at 1.9.
Under.
NBC usually gets a premiere audience and then suffers a fall. I see this as being more in line with Do No Harm, especially with a horrible lead in. My guess is a 1.3 demo (if its lucky).
I can't see Go On getting more than a 1.5, and I don't see Hannibal increasing on it. Under
It's a dire situation, but I think the brand by itself could at least draw some attention, along with the (surprising, at least to me) strong reviews. Over at 1.8.
Under
Under at 1.4.
Over. Maybe it gets lucky thanks to the brand...
...Under. I was torn, but the Magic 8 Ball was adamant.
Nicholas Nuccio: "Under at 1.4."
I'll just repeat what I said for the last NBC Thursday at 10 pm question: "If either Elementary or Scandal were a rerun tonight, [Hannibal] would
have an easier time getting past this line. But...it gets no such luxury."
Under.
Under, partly because not enough people are watching NBC to take notice of another show, and partly because scandal and elementary have already completely claimed 10pm
Over. 1.7
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