February 17-March 12 Games:
| Date | Show(s) | OU/Spread | Result | Winner | W | L | D |
| Feb. 17 | Revenge | 1.85 | 1.8 | Under | 2 | 11 | |
| Feb. 19 | Body of Proof | 1.85 | 1.2 | Under | 5 | 10 | |
| Feb. 19 | Cult | 0.55 | 0.3 | Under | 5 | 9 | |
| Feb. 26 | Golden Boy | 2.25 | 1.8 | Under | 6 | 8 | |
| Mar. 3 | Apprentice vs. Red Widow | CA by 0.25 | CA 1.7 to 1.5 | RW +0.25 | 7 | 4 | |
| Mar. 5 | Celebrity Wife Swap | 1.95 | 1.5 | Under | 7 | 3 | |
| Mar. 8 | Fashion Star + Grimm | 2.45 | 2.3 | Under | 5 | 7 | |
| Mar. 11 | The Bachelor | 3.25 | 3.5 | Over | 9 | 2 | |
| Mar. 12 | Hell's Kitchen | 2.25 | 2.2 | Under | 0 | 12 | |
| TOTAL | 46 | 66 | 0 | ||||
| SEASON | 451 | 400 | 18 |
Previous weeks' results:
Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | thru 11/14 | thru 12/10 | thru 12/20 | thru 1/17 | thru 1/31 | thru 2/14
Season-to-date standings through March 12:
| W | L | D | Pts | Win% | Over | Under | Over% | |
| Billie_Dawn | 45 | 29 | 2 | 52.6 | 61% | 37 | 30 | 55% |
| Chris L | 40 | 28 | 1 | 46.9 | 59% | 40 | 22 | 65% |
| Survivor Fan | 39 | 28 | 1 | 45.8 | 58% | 28 | 32 | 47% |
| James "One" Shade | 37 | 33 | 1 | 44.1 | 53% | 28 | 35 | 44% |
| CarShark | 35.5 | 31 | 1 | 42.3 | 53% | 32 | 28 | 53% |
| Jack Sargeson | 35 | 32 | 1 | 41.8 | 52% | 28 | 33 | 46% |
| Igwell Predicts | 32 | 34 | 2 | 38.8 | 48% | 33 | 27 | 55% |
| DavidK | 27.5 | 33 | 2 | 33.8 | 45% | 32 | 24 | 57% |
| omabin | 28 | 27 | 1 | 33.6 | 51% | 26 | 23 | 53% |
| Silvio | 24 | 22 | 1 | 28.7 | 52% | 16 | 26 | 38% |
| Gavin Hetherington | 18 | 16 | 0 | 21.4 | 53% | 20 | 11 | 65% |
| Luke | 14 | 21 | 1 | 17.6 | 40% | 25 | 8 | 76% |
| vamperstien | 10 | 10 | 1 | 12.1 | 50% | 14 | 5 | 74% |
| Oliver | 10 | 7 | 1 | 11.8 | 59% | 12 | 4 | 75% |
| nb | 10 | 6 | 0 | 11.6 | 63% | 7 | 8 | 47% |
| A | 8 | 10 | 2 | 10.0 | 44% | 12 | 3 | 80% |
| yankeesrj12 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 9.8 | 44% | 12 | 5 | 71% |
| Engelbert | 8 | 6 | 0 | 9.4 | 57% | 7 | 5 | 58% |
| Nicholas Nuccio | 8 | 4 | 0 | 9.2 | 67% | 3 | 8 | 27% |
| Klaus Gepp | 8 | 3 | 0 | 9.1 | 73% | 7 | 3 | 70% |
| RandyL | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.6 | 17% | 4 | 1 | 80% |
| Mike Stein | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.4 | 25% | 1 | 3 | 25% |
| Emily | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 100% |
| Rurry | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| ABC Hater | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| Danny Robertson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0% |
| wlm | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0% |
As I mentioned in a past post, the correct result is "Under" about 59% of the time. It had started to even out after I last wrote that, but the long string of unders seen above got it back to that percentage. My goal is to get the results at about 50/50, but it's tough these days not to lean optimistic.
Though the results lean under, the actual correlation between win % and over/under % is pretty weak. The top players have a pretty wide variety of Over/Under % choices, and Chris L is in second place despite being one of the most optimistic. Not sure if any of this is actual "analysis," I just found it kind of interesting.
Some time in the future I will add in "win % when picking over" and "win % when picking under."
Points = Wins + 0.1 * Games.
The "half-wins" are for entries to sports games after the start of the event.
