The Question, Monday 3/25/13: Are the Lights Back On at NBC?

When NBC announced a four-month hiatus for The Voice and Revolution, their March 25 return instantly became the highest-stakes evening of NBC's entire season. Since then, a comically awful winter and solid starts from competing ABC reality series have further upped the ante. Are the lights back on at NBC? That's The Question for Monday, March 25, 2013.

The Voice Last Season	Revolution This Season
4.2 (premiere, Monday 9/10/12) 4.38 (fall 2012 Monday average) 4.08 (fall 2012 Tuesday average) 4.2 (Monday finale, 12/17/12) 4.9 (Tuesday finale, 12/18/12)	4.1 (premiere, Monday 9/17/12) 3.09 (fall 2012 average) 2.8 -> 2.6 -> 2.6 -> 2.9 (last 4 eps)

For Revolution, I'm basically going with what I used to pretty good effect in predicting Grimm's return: roughly the low end of the fall numbers. It could easily go higher or lower, because the audience here is probably not quite as "settled in" as was Grimm's, but a big lead-in should help it stay reasonable.

I have The Voice going below the 4.2 from the fall premiere, (once again) if only because nobody's watching NBC promos, but the show ended its fall season so strongly that I don't see it going drastically lower. We'll see how the new coaches do as TV personalities, but I think Shakira and Usher are big enough names that they won't be a significant negative for the premiere.

The Voice PLUS Revolution Over/Under: 6.55.

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