As on the Weekly True Power Rankings, these True2 and A18-49 numbers are averages of the last third of the season's episodes to date rounded up (and, new in this edition, excluding most season finales). The number of episodes in the average is listed under "Counted Eps." These numbers are all through March 3.
Other March True Power Rankings: ABC | CBS | NBC | Fox | CW
| Fox Comedies | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| The Anchors | |||||
| 1 | Family Guy | 2.42 | 2.92 | 5 | 14 |
| 2 | New Girl | 2.28 | 2.30 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | The Simpsons | 1.92 | 2.18 | 5 | 14 |
It seems this is an unpopular opinion, but I'm pretty much in favor of Fox keeping New Girl and The Mindy Project together next season. Might be my own bias, as I was a buyer (creatively speaking) on Mindy even when everyone thought it was bad and I'm also enjoying the improvement of late. I just still feel like it's a pretty compatible pair and New Girl isn't so huge that keeping these two together is a massive missed opportunity. Plus I get the vague sense that the comedy development is going in a more masculine direction. Unless there's a perfect pairing, I say ride this one out for another year.
| Fox Comedies | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| The Renewed | |||||
| 4 | American Dad! | 1.83 | 2.13 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Bob's Burgers | 1.60 | 1.92 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | The Mindy Project | 1.60 | 1.65 | 6 | 16 |
| 7 | Raising Hope | 1.59 | 1.54 | 7 | 20 |
In the first couple Fox editions, you could notice me saying that I thought The Mindy Project and Ben and Kate were pretty much the same show. Yet here we are with Ben and Kate failing to get through its first-season order and Mindy getting an early renewal for a 22-episode second season.
So what happened? Two keys:
1. Ben and Kate didn't close the gap when the competition evened out. I still maintain that I was onto something when I said the 0.3 difference between these shows could be explained by B&K's massively worse situation. It had a much worse lead-in with Raising Hope, it had much more competition with The Voice (and NCIS mothership) and the 8:30 half-hour is less-viewed. Why do I think I was onto something? Well, because Ben and Kate stayed on the air at all, despite hitting a one point one three times in its last four 2012 airings.
Ben and Kate made it into 2013, but it turns out (surprise!) there weren't a ton of potential B&K viewers locked in on The Voice. It got 1.2, 1.1, 1.2, and the accompanying True2 scores with little competition were now worth much less than what Mindy's 1.5 was worth. Credit to Fox for giving it a shot in the easier January landscape, but it obviously didn't work out.
2. The 9:00 hour suddenly got much stronger after Ben and Kate left. Most people have assumed correlation = causation here. Could be, but I'm still surprised that New Girl suddenly bounced up by a half point over its late fall/early winter numbers just because its lead-in got like 0.3 points better. Still, it happened, and Mindy rode the wave, rising at least a couple ticks over its consistent 1.5 level. And since 1.7 is the new 3.0, we'll see you in 2013-14. While I still sense a perception that people think Mindy was a much "worse" renewal than Raising Hope, the recent True2 results have them about equivalent.
| Fox Comedies | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| The Danger Zone | |||||
| 8 | The Cleveland Show | 1.37 | 1.48 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Ben and Kate | 1.21 | 1.20 | 5 | 13 |
| Fox Dramas | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| The 2013 (and probably 2014) Monday Lineup | |||||
| 1 | The Following | 2.79 | 2.85 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bones | 2.18 | 2.33 | 6 | 17 |
As rough a year as it has been for the new broadcast shows, the consolation is that the two programs that felt like they reeeeeeally needed to work (Arrow and The Following) have worked, to (for now at least) a pretty legitimately strong extent. If they'd failed? My goodness.
| Fox Dramas | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| The Glee | |||||
| 3 | Glee | 1.85 | 2.12 | 5 | 14 |
So let's talk about Glee.
I'm not going to say the show might get cancelled, because I don't believe that. (And Fox PR basically said it's coming back when they renewed the other shows; they're just not ready to announce.) But I do believe two things:
1. If Fox were stronger, Glee would be in legitimate trouble. When the show was a huge success early on, costs certainly went up. And the show was already expensive to begin with. Now it has a 104 A18-49+ with very good lead-ins. House had a 107 in its final season. 24 had a 105. Glee fits the "expensive veteran that has dropped by a huge distance from its peak and is now only barely above average" formula that I believe gets a lot of old shows axed despite what look like acceptable ratings. But Fox entertainment programming is headed for its worst relative standing since the mid-aughts, and they have one (1) other returning drama that they can air next fall. They're not in a position to get rid of the show.
2. Basically no matter where it is scheduled, season five of Glee is not going to go well. Season four, as expected, has not gone well. This is just a "burn brightly and then burn out" kind of show. While you can make the argument that maybe Grey's Anatomy is just murdering this show and it would still be strong elsewhere, I'm skeptical. I think it'd be consistently below 2.0 if it were, say, leading off Tuesday right now. Move it back there next season and it may be sub-1.5.
Given those two things, what can Fox do to not make season five of Glee a burden and a potential huge embarrassment? My suggestion: give it 13 episodes, a final season announcement and the Monday 9/8c slot that The Following will reclaim in winter 2014. This keeps Glee from becoming a long-term burden, gives it a "proper finale" for people who like that kind of thing, and it keeps the network from having to doom something new in the "filler with no midseason timeslot" situation on Monday.
Come on, Fox. You don't want to waste the singing show lead-ins on Glee. You don't want to re-heat this fast-declining show as a Tuesday anchor. And you really don't want to move it to Friday. This makes sense.
| Fox Dramas | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| The Dunzo | |||||
| 4 | Fringe | 1.26 | 0.95 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Touch | 1.03 | 0.75 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | The Mob Doctor | 0.89 | 0.64 | 5 | 13 |
| Fox Unscripted | True2 | A18-49 | Counted Eps | Eps | |
| 1 | American Idol Wed | 4.46 | 4.10 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | American Idol Thu | 4.11 | 3.80 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | The X Factor Wed | 2.69 | 2.70 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | The X Factor Thu | 2.66 | 2.60 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Mobbed | 1.40 | 1.20 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Kitchen Nightmares | 1.36 | 1.13 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Cops | 1.16 | 1.03 | 4 | 10 |
Just emptying the notebook with this one last thought: I have no idea what to put on Fox Friday next season. Cops and Kitchen Nightmares?! It also wouldn't stun me to see Raising Hope end up getting skedded on this night.
