Recent Survivor Premieres/Avgs/Finales |
4.5/3.91/4.2 (spring 2010) 4.0/3.68/4.1 (fall 2010) 3.2/3.28/4.0 (spring 2011) 3.4/3.35/4.0 (fall 2011) 3.1/2.83/2.9 (spring 2012) 3.2/2.86/3.2 (fall 2012) |
The Fox press release might get to tout another "lowest-rated Survivor premiere ever," if only because American Idol is tougher competition than fall's The X Factor. But Idol is not as tough as it was last year, so I'm expecting the bleeding to slow for Survivor this season, maybe as much because of that as because of the all-star season. I'm guessing tonight will be right at last spring's premiere or a tick lower.
Over/Under: 3.05.
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11 comments:
God, this is a tough one. But my gut says over, although I think it will be close.
I'm going to say over, but really, I could have just flipped a coin and let that make my decision. Tough one.
I am truly trowing a guess here.. Over
I'm going to say just barely under at 3.0.
It better be over! I will say 3.2 (OVER). The FvF season should help, but to a limited extent, as all of the favorites, except for Corinne, are from after the move to Wednesdays, when the ratings have been lower.
I cannot wait for tonight- with the Survivor premiere and Duke/ UNC
This is a tough cookie to crack. With a one and a half hour episode, I have to wonder if the audience will steadily grow or shrink.
My guess: Over, but just barely.
over
3.0, so UNDER, but barely. The Fans v Favorites bonus should be neutralized by the fact that there's so much more competition from the middle of September to February sweeps.
I would've picked under. CBS has been having bad luck lately.
Nicholas Nuccio: 3.0, so UNDER, but barely. The Fans v Favorites bonus should be
neutralized by the fact that there's so much more competition from the
middle of September to February sweeps.
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