The Question, Tuesday 10/2/12: How Much Hope for Fox Tuesday?

Fox's four-comedy block on Tuesday was just one of the many buzzed-about lineups that came in below expectations during premiere week, and that was with two episodes of the block's strongest show, New Girl. Tonight, Fox begins leading off the evening with the regular 8/7c occupant, the much lower-rated returnee Raising Hope. How much hope should we have for the first show of the new Fox Tuesday? That's The Question for Tuesday, October 2, 2012.

Raising Hope Prems/Avgs/Finales	Fox Premiere Tuesday
3.1/2.48/2.2 (2010-11) 3.1/2.16/1.8 (2011-12)	2.8 (New Girl, 8/7c) 2.1 (Ben and Kate, 8:30/7:30c) 2.8 (New Girl, 9/8c) 2.4 (The Mindy Project, 9:30/8:30c)

New Girl came back right at last season's finale numbers, and it did so with a much worse lead-in than Glee was last year. So that's roughly what I'm expecting from Raising Hope. While Hope's finale last year had a New Girl lead-in, the show was pretty resilient in its turn at 8:00 last season. It posted three straight 2.1's after New Girl and then had a 2.1 in its 8/7c debut. Even in what has been a pretty brutal opening week of the season, most of the 8:00 shows have at least been able to premiere somewhat better than last year's post-DST numbers, and Hope was a mid-to-upper 1's show at 8:00 after DST.

Over/Under: 1.85.

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