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Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Question Two, Wednesday 10/10/12: Which Way is the Arrow Pointing?


As I said pre-season, Arrow is about as high-stakes as a series premiere can get for a network. If the CW can't get this kind of show to open with a substantial number, when are they ever going to get anything to open with a substantial number? If this bombs tonight, we may as well start the countdown clock on the demise of the network as a whole. I realize many pundits have started said countdown clock long ago, but I remain naive enough to want to see how this show does first. Which way is the network's arrow pointing?  That's Question Two for Wednesday, October 10, 2012.

Recent CW Drama Series Premieres This Season's CW Premieres
1.2 (Hellcats, 9/8/10)
1.4 (Nikita, 9/9/10)
1.2 (Ringer, 9/13/11)
1.3 (The Secret Circle, 9/15/11)
0.8 (Hart of Dixie, 9/26/11)
0.7 (Hart of Dixie, 10/2/12)
0.8 (Supernatural, 10/3/12)
0.4 (90210, 10/8/12)
0.4 (Gossip Girl, 10/8/12)

The CW's ratings have been so battered down over the last 12 months that even getting back to the low 1's range in which most of their recent drama premieres have fallen would feel like a pretty big win, especially since Arrow faces full broadcast competition (unlike most of the above). Yet I still think this has as good a shot as anything since The Vampire Diaries to be a pretty big win. It's a recognizable comic book name. Reviews are reasonably good. It's been promoted heavily; I even saw multiple spots during Syfy's Alphas on Monday night. Taking the under is probably the wise route with the way things are going on the mini-net, but I'm hoping at least a few people have the same kind of... hope? stupidity? that I do. Good luck, CDub.

Over/Under: 1.05.

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