The Question, Sunday 9/30/12: How Much Firepower in ABC's Young Guns?

In recent years, Sunday night has not been one of the more exciting evenings on broadcast TV. NBC has the predictably beastly Sunday Night Football, Fox has the predictably fine Animation Domination block, and overrun-muddled CBS seems content to phone it in with The Amazing Race and lower-tier dramas. For awhile, ABC was just as predictable; their Extreme Makeover: Home Edition/Desperate Housewives/Brothers & Sisters lineup stayed intact for five full seasons! This fall, all three of those veterans are dunzo and ABC's Sunday situation becomes a whole lot more interesting. Once Upon a Time had a pretty smashing debut season in the 8:00 slot last year, and they're hoping that will continue through to a couple more young shows: decent-rated sophomore Revenge and rookie 666 Park Ave. How much firepower will ABC's lineup of young guns have? That's The Question for Sunday, September 30, 2012.

Once Upon a Time	Revenge
4.0 (premiere, 10/23/11) 3.27 (average) 3.3 (finale, 5/13/12)	3.3 (premiere, 9/21/11, 6.2 lead-in) 2.46 (average, 2.9 average lead-in) 2.4 (finale, 2.4 lead-in)
Previous Occupant (9/8c)	Previous Occupants (10/9c)
Desperate Housewives 3.2 (premiere, 9/25/11) 2.74 (average) 3.2 (finale, 5/13/12)	3.1 (Pan Am premiere, 9/25/11, 3.2 lead-in) 1.69 (Pan Am average) 2.2 (GCB premiere, 3/4/12, 2.4 lead-in) 1.92 (GCB average)

Once Upon a Time finished the season well enough that I think it pretty reliably returns in the low-3's, maybe even a bit higher. I expect 666 Park to be just kind of there, dipping from Revenge but not by that much. I believe the most unpredictable part of this pick is the centerpiece, Revenge at 9/8c. I'm not seeing the show taking a huge leap to Once numbers or anything, but at least on premiere night it should have a good shot at upper 2's. But these shows are young and unpredictable, so this is a pick where I wouldn't be shocked to miss by a half point in either direction.

Over/Under for ABC from 8:00 to 11:00: 2.8.

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