bc | Rank | y2y | Rank | TPUT | Rank | bc/TPUT | Rank | |
Saturday 10:00 | 7.7 | 16 | +2% | 4 | 29.9 | 18 | 26% | 16 |
This is actually the only 10:00 hour of the entire week in which the TPUT goes up from what it is at 9:00, though it's a very slight difference (29.6 -> 29.9). I guess that says more about how much worse the broadcast options are at 9:00 than anything else.
Saturday Night Football | Slot Average | |||
Premieres September 1 | 1.49 | |||
Best Case: ABC lands another thrilling slate of games and handily beats down the competing offerings on Fox (and the ESPN's). Up another percent to 2.25. Worst Case: The games just aren't quite as incredible as last year's, plus Fox's games take out a legit chunk. Down 15% to 1.90. Likeliest: I do think ABC was somewhat lucky with last year's games, including the epic Stanford/USC and USC/Oregon games as well as other intriguing matchups like Oklahoma/FSU. It probably comes back down a bit to a 2.05. | Slot Orig Avg | |||
1.05 | ||||
2.23 | Occupants | |||
Saturday Night Football | ||||
y2y | Label | |||
+11% | marginal | 2.23 | 2.23 | |
True2 | Sitch | |||
2.23 | +0% | |||
2011-12 Slot | ||||
Saturday 8:00 |
48 Hours Mystery | Slot Average | |||
Premieres September 29 | 1.80 | |||
Best Case: CBS primetime gets really good lead-ins from afternoon sports events, and that is just barely felt by 48 Hours Mystery time, causing a break-even 1.15. Worst Case: Takes about a league-average drop to a 1.04. Likeliest: Clearly I don't have a lot to say here. I'm guessing it just keeps chugging along. Loses 4% for a second straight year to average a 1.10. | Slot Orig Avg | |||
1.14 | ||||
1.15 | Occupants | |||
48 Hours Mystery | ||||
y2y | Label | |||
-4% | flop | 1.14 | 1.46 | |
True2 | Sitch | |||
1.46 | -21% | |||
2011-12 Slot | ||||
Saturday 10:00 |
CFB on Fox (NEW!) | Slot Average | |||
n/a | ||||
Slot Orig Avg | ||||
Premieres September 1 | n/a | |||
Best Case: Many of the biggest games on ABC last season were Pac-12 matchups, and if ever there were a year to pick up the Pac-12, it's this one, with USC back atop the rankings. Very competitive with ABC at a 1.70 average. Worst Case: The Fox slate of possibilities is simply not as diverse as ABC/ESPN's, and they end up getting stuck with a bunch of blowouts and unimpressive matchups. 1.00. Likeliest: I'm not 100% sure on what each network has the rights to, but the sense I get is that the incumbent ABC will ultimately have the much better choices. So I'm giving Fox a 1.20. | Occupants | |||
Network to Watch: I guess I'll go with Fox since they're the relative newbie in the sports realm. How close will they be with a likely stronger slate of ABC offerings? Can they stay squarely ahead of the year-ago Cops average?
My Picks: College football!
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