| bc | Rank | y2y | Rank | TPUT | Rank | bc/TPUT | Rank | |
| Friday 10:00 | 7.6 | 17 | -3% | 10 | 30.1 | 17 | 25% | 17 |
This is the one hour of primetime that's gone entirely unchanged for a few years now (basically since the Blue Bloods premiere in fall 2010). All those shows were down just a touch in 2011-12, making this a fairly middling hour in year-to-year comparisons.
 | 20/20 | Slot Average | ||
| Premieres September 14 | 1.40 | |||
| Best Case: 20/20 was stronger in the second half last season when Shark Tank and Primetime: What Would You Do? showed up. With both of those plus a primetime Nightline leading in at various times plus a bit of an election bump, it's up a tick to 1.55. Worst Case: ABC's Friday lineup crumbles in the face of all the scripted offerings on other networks, and 20/20 leads out with a 10% loss to a 1.31. Likeliest: It looks like 20/20 basically broke even in the last election year. I think it gets slightly better lead-ins this year, so I'll give it a 3% gain to a 1.50. | Slot Orig Avg | |||
| 1.41 | ||||
| 1.45 | Occupants | |||
| 20/20 | ||||
| y2y | Label | |||
| -5% | flop | 1.38 | 1.65 | |
| True2 | Sitch | |||
| 1.67 | -13% | |||
| 2011-12 Slot | ||||
| Friday 10:00 | ||||
 | Blue Bloods | Slot Average | ||
| Premieres September 28 | 1.58 | |||
| Best Case: Has mostly been quite consistent for a couple years. Why stop now? An even money 1.72. Worst Case: It finished last season weakly, Made in Jersey is a weak lead-in, and it's a rough fall for Blue Bloods as viewers choose the newsmagazine logjam due to election season. Ends up down 12% to a kinda worrying 1.51. Likeliest: Just keeps chugging along. I doubt slight upticks from the newsmagazines are going to take huge chunks of audience away from this show. I do think Made in Jersey will be a little less helpful than CSI: NY, so I'll say -5% to a 1.63. | Slot Orig Avg | |||
| 1.72 | ||||
| 1.72 | Occupants | |||
| Blue Bloods | ||||
| y2y | Label | |||
| -3% | marginal | 1.72 | 1.94 | |
| True2 | Sitch | |||
| 1.94 | -12% | |||
| 2011-12 Slot | ||||
| Friday 10:00 | ||||
 | Dateline | Slot Average | ||
| Premieres September 21 | 1.28 | |||
| Best Case: Election bump! Up a tick to 1.42. Worst Case: League average drop to 1.20. Likeliest: I'll say it's maybe up a bit in October/November but that's cancelled out by slight drops for most of the rest of the season. Breaks even at a 1.32. | Slot Orig Avg | |||
| 1.30 | ||||
| 1.32 | Occupants | |||
| Dateline | ||||
| y2y | Label | |||
| -7% | flop | 1.24 | 1.51 | |
| True2 | Sitch | |||
| 1.54 | -15% | |||
| 2011-12 Slot | ||||
| Friday 10:00 | ||||
Cable:
| Show | Network | Premieres | Avg | y2y |
| Haven | Syfy | 9/21 | 0.52 | +0% |
Network to Watch: I guess I'll say CBS, since I don't think Blue Bloods is that far away from being in shaky territory. But I think there's a pretty strong chance all three of these shows end up right back here a year from now.
My Picks: Blue Bloods. Perfect turn-off-brain Friday show.
4 comments:
I always thought the perfect turn-off-brain show for Friday was Strike Back.
Boss is on at 9pm, and its season finale is on October 5. What's Strike Back?
Yes, based on their airdates I consider those to be closer to summer shows than fall shows, and their ratings aren't significant enough for what I'm going for in the cable section anyway.
It's a show where a British dude and an American dude work for a top-secret section of MI-6, and they run around the world stopping terrorist threats - which for this season means trying to stop Tywin Lannister from building a nuclear warhead.
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