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For further reference: General Upfront Questions
My Question: Who Attacks Tuesday?
Unfortunately, there doesn't appear to be a big splashy attack of the evening. Tuesday does have the most new shows of any night (tied with Wednesday), and it also has the highest volume of the hottest category (sitcom) this fall. But it's worth wondering whether any of those shows will actually work. Fox is leading off its new sitcom hour with a show that I don't particularly think deserves such a role (Raising Hope), ABC is bringing over a couple previously marginal shows that don't match very well with Dancing with the Stars, and NBC's are unknowns. CBS again refused to use NCIS to directly help a new show. NBC's comedy hour has the most upside since it has a good lead-in, but who wants to bet on NBC at this point? Overall, looks like it could be another bad season for Tuesday nights.
My Question: Will Premiere Scheduling Get Even Crazier?
As I said last time, we didn't get actual dates for the most part. Kind of a dumb Upfront Question, sorry! But there were lots of hints that premieres, indeed, may get even crazier. NBC said they want to premiere Grimm in August and sample their comedies "during the Olympics," whatever that means. It's confirmed that The Voice is launching early (September 10). ABC said they will again stagger their premieres. Fox talked about wanting to start stuff early. And the CW is going the opposite of their typical direction and starting the season late (they said early October). I'll try to do another post on this after the dates are revealed this summer.
My Question: How Many and What Kinds of New Shows?
Let me revisit my table from last time (just looking at the big four):
Year | New Scripted | New Dramas | New Sitcoms | New Sitcom% |
2006-07 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 36% |
2007-08 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 33% |
2008-09 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 36% |
2009-10 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 38% |
2010-11 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 41% |
2011-12 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 45% |
2012-13 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 47% |
At least right now*, both my predix were wrong. There are noticeably fewer new shows, and sitcoms didn't pass dramas. On the former, I would guess a good 2011-12 for new shows helped; there were several more newbies renewed last year than in any of the previous few seasons, plus The X Factor and The Voice emerged as major consumers of real estate. When I looked back at new shows, I noticed primetime seems to alternate between good and bad years for development. Maybe that's because they follow up the good years by trying to shore up the sophomores and not putting a high priority on the new shows. That shoring up is certainly happening in a huge way with shows like Revenge and Person of Interest.
Does that mean an ugly year for new shows looms? Let's hope not. But I have to say that generally speaking, I felt most networks should have cancelled one more show and greenlit at least one more pilot. Of course, that's without actually seeing the pilots.
On the drama/sitcom split, the percentage of sitcoms did tick up again, and a couple networks (Fox and NBC) actually have more sitcoms than dramas. But they were overwhelmed by CBS and ABC going way in the other direction. The sense I got from the later pilot updates was that both networks had really bad comedy development. Unfortunate, but it's how it goes sometimes.
*- I left ABC's Mistresses, currently slated for summer 2013, and that pirate show on NBC (might be summer) in those counts for now, but I won't ultimately count them if they end up in the summer. There are also some other pilots still floating around that might get a nod, and for some reason I feel like I may have left something out. Anyway, I'd expect this number will end up somewhere other than 34.